Tamara - On Sunday an announcement, described as "historic," from the European Commission essentially gave the green light for Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia to join the European Union (EU) in the future. And while that is great news, depending on your perspective, for those three countries it does leave officials in Tamara in a delicate situation.
Agausia is intrinsically linked to the economies of its neighbors, and if Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia were to join the EU that would leave Agausia, Russia, and Turkey as the only Black Sea countries outside of the union. This has unprecedented consequences, as Agausia has been carefully toeing the line between Russia and the West. As the Black Sea becomes dominated by the EU it could force Agausia to either move towards European integration, move closer to Russia, or somehow manage to stay neutral.
According to Agausian economist Maiḱl Ivanopski, "I could see a scenario in which Agausia is forced to choose between fully embracing the west which would result in threats from Russia or turn toward Russia and risk getting rejected by the west. This situation would be unpredictable as EU membership for Agausia is not in the political zeitgeist." The only political party that actively promotes EU integration is the Farmer's and Green's Union, who view the EU's Common Agricultural Policy as a way to help farmers and promote agriculture.
A poll conducted in 2019 found that only 38% of Agausians had a favorable view of the European Union. A more recent poll conducted in January 2022, on the eve of the Russian invasion, 43% of Agausians had a favorable view of the European Union. The future direction of foreign policy in Agausia now seems unclear, and this unsteadiness will impact the economy in more ways than one.
(Agausian Translation)
Ḱviras, evroḱomisës gantsëkadebam, romelitsëâ "ist́oriuls" ûtsëda, arsebitad aanto mtsëvane šuki Ûḱrainis Moldovasa da Gruzâ evroḱavširši momavalši gatsëvrânebaza. Da miukedavad imisa, rom es šesanišnavi sâklea, tkveni ṕersṕekt́ividan gamomdinare, am sami kveḱnistvis is Tamaraši činovniḱebs deliḱat́ur sit́uatsëaši t́ovebs.
Agûzâ arsebitad daḱavširebulâ mezoblebis eḱonomiḱebtan da tu Ûḱraina, Moldova da Gruzâ evroḱavširs šeuertdebân, es dat́ovebs Agûzâs, Rusetsëâ da Turketsëâ, rogortsë ertadert šavi zǵvis kveḱnebs ḱavširis miǵma. Amas ûṕretsëedent́o šedegebi mohḱva, raǵan Agûzâ guldasmit at́arebda kazs Rusetsëa da dasavletsë šoris. Šavi zǵva evroḱavširis dominirebastan ertad šeižleba aižulos Agûsâ an tsëavides evroint́egratsësḱen, dûaklovdes Rusetsëâ, an rogorme mókherkhos neit́ralurobis šenarčuneba.
Agûsëli eḱonomist́is Maiḱl Ivanopski tkmit, „Me vkedavdi stsënars, romelšitsëâ Agûzâ ižulebulâ airčion dasavletis srulad moktsëva, ratsëâ gamoitsëvevs Rusetisgan mukaras an Rusetisḱen mibrunebas da dasavletis mkridan ûarḱopis risḱis kveš. Es sit́uatsëâ ikneba araṕrognozirebadi, raǵan Agûsâ-s evroḱavširši gatsëvrâneba ar aris ṕolit́iḱur zeit́geist́ši“. Ertaderti ṕolit́iḱuri ṕart́â, romelitsëâ akt́iurad ûtsëḱobs kels evroḱavširši int́egratsëas, aris permerta da mtsëvaneta ḱavširi, romelitsëâ ganikilavs evroḱavširis sérto sasoplo-sameurneo ṕolit́iḱas permerebis dasakmareblad da soplis meurneobis kelšetsëḱobis gzad.
2019 tsëls čat́arebulma gamoḱitkvam ačvena, rom Agûselebis mkolod 38%-s hkonda dadebiti šekheduleba evroḱavširze. Ûklesi gamoḱitkva, romelitsëâ čat́arda 2022 tsëlis ânvarši, Rusetis šemočris tsëna ǵhes, Agûselebis 43%-s evroḱavširis mimart dadebiti šekeduleba hkonda. Agûzâši sagareo ṕolit́iḱis momavali mimartuleba akla gûrḱvevelâ da es arast́abiluroba gavlenas mókdens eḱonomiḱaze ertze met́i gzit.
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